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Mid August 2023: Market Insights and Predictions



Introduction: Welcome to our latest blog post, where we'll dive into the fast-paced world of the Canadian real estate market. In this scrollable update, we'll dissect recent trends, examine key factors, and discuss what might lie ahead for buyers and sellers. Let's explore everything from inflation concerns to bond yields, unemployment rates, and market dynamics.

Inflation and Market Uncertainty:

Since our last update, inflation has grabbed the headlines, surging back to 3.3%. However, the inflation rate drops to 2.4% when excluding mortgage costs. This conflicting data has raised questions about the economy's stability and the potential for further interest rate hikes.

Economic Insights and Concerns:

Reports reveal cracks in the Canadian economy, particularly concerning the average consumer. Struggles with a higher interest rate environment have become evident, with consumer proposals surpassing pre-pandemic levels. Unemployment has risen for three consecutive months, reaching 5.5%, casting a shadow on the real estate market.

Bond Yields and Mortgage Rates:

The influence of bond yields on the real estate market cannot be ignored. As bond yields hit all-time highs, the five-year fixed mortgage rate has surged, reaching levels not seen since 2007. This surge is putting downward pressure on the real estate market.

Market Statistics and Trends:

With each passing month, inventory levels are on the rise. Average sale prices tell an interesting story. The average sale price in April stood at $825,000, climbing to $882,000 in May. However, by mid-August, the average had declined to $786,000. This trend of softness during the summer months mirrors the previous year's experience.

Predictions and Insights:

Amid the market's uncertainty, whether the Bank of Canada will implement another rate hike lingers. In the face of increasing joblessness and consumer delinquency, there's a compelling argument for the bank to consider pausing interest rate hikes. This pause could lead to further rallies in the real estate market, especially if accompanied by a few months of positive inflation news.

Strategic Approach for Buyers:

For potential buyers, this market environment presents both challenges and opportunities. A dip in the market could be the right time to make a move. Rather than buying during periods of market growth, consider entering when the market is softening. However, timing is critical, particularly if entering or exiting the market.

Seeking Expert Guidance:

Understanding the intricate web of economic indicators and market dynamics can be daunting. Whether you're a seasoned investor or a first-time buyer, contacting a professional can provide invaluable insights. Our team is here to guide you through this information, helping you make informed decisions that align with your unique situation.


The Canadian real estate landscape is in flux, driven by various factors from inflation and unemployment to bond yields and consumer behaviors. The market's future remains uncertain as we eagerly await the next Bank of Canada meeting. However, one thing is clear: educated decisions, expert guidance, and a strategic approach are essential for anyone navigating these waters. Feel free to contact us for more information and personalized assistance. Until next time, stay informed and make confident choices.

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