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Guelph Real Estate Market Update: Inventory Crunch and Rising Prices

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Welcome to another insightful Guelph Market Update for June 2023. In this report, we will explore the current state of the real estate market in Guelph, highlighting key trends, macroeconomic factors, and inventory dynamics. By analyzing market data and providing expert guidance, the Zaun team aims to equip clients with the information needed to make informed decisions for their financial success. Join us as we delve into Guelph's real estate market's recent past, present conditions, and future prospects.

December 2022: A Buying Opportunity:

The report begins by revisiting a clip from December 2022, emphasizing the importance of having a knowledgeable real estate team and leveraging market data. Despite unit sales experiencing a significant decline, inventory levels remained on par with the five-year average. The speaker explains that prices tend to rise when inventory is limited and demand increases. This suggested a favorable time for sellers and potential opportunities for buyers, particularly those interested in investment properties.

Market Conditions and Interest Rates:

The discussion then moves to the macroeconomic environment, focusing on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and its impact on the housing market. While there was a slight uptick in inflation, primarily due to factors like increased gas prices and housing costs, it is predicted to stabilize or decrease. The speaker predicts that the central bank will likely maintain interest rates in the upcoming policy meeting, considering these factors and the potential easing of inflationary pressures.

Inventory Crunch and Buying Pace:

The report highlights the persisting issue of low inventory in the Guelph market. Despite encouraging promises to address this shortage, the supply of homes has remained insufficient, resulting in a supply-demand imbalance. The limited inventory has led to multiple offer situations and continued upward pressure on prices. The speaker suggests that positive news regarding inflation and the absence of new inventory may spark renewed buying interest and drive prices higher.

Inventory and Sales Flow:

Analyzing inventory data, the report reveals that the current number of active listings falls significantly below the five-year average across all asset classes. This scarcity of available homes is reflected in historical inventory trends, showcasing a reduction of 56% compared to the previous year. The report also examines the inflow and outflow of homes in the market, highlighting a slower pace of new listings but an improving trend in sales. The number of failed sales decreases, further demonstrating the market's strength and stability.

Market Recovery and Future Projections:

The report analyzes the quarterly performance, indicating a notable recovery in the market during Q2 2023. With a 13% increase in average sale prices compared to the previous quarter, the Guelph real estate market exhibits signs of rapid recovery. If inflation remains under control, interest rates stabilize, and inventory constraints persist, the report predicts a quicker rebound to pre-pandemic peaks than previous market recoveries. This optimistic outlook indicates potential opportunities for both sellers and buyers.


In conclusion, the Guelph real estate market faces challenges due to a persistent inventory crunch. Limited supply and increasing demand have increased prices, making it a favorable time for sellers. However, buyers may still find opportunities due to the lower competition and potential future price appreciation. Expert analysis of market data and a thorough understanding of the macroeconomic landscape are crucial for making informed decisions in this dynamic real estate market. For more detailed information and a comprehensive real estate experience, interested individuals are encouraged to reach out to the Zaun team.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this market update is based on the data available at the time of the report and the speaker's expert opinion. The market conditions may change, and it is advisable to consult a real estate professional for the most up-to-date and personalized.

To watch the full market report, head to our YouTube channel  

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